Table 3.

Comparison of the Ohio Lead Risk Score With State and Federal Screening Strategies

ModelSensitivity
(95% CI)
Specificity
(95% CI)
Positive
Predictive Value
(95% CI)
Negative
Predictive Value
(95% CI)
Ohio Lead Risk Score ≥895% (92–98)56% (49–62)67% (61–72)93% (87–96)
Ohio Lead Risk Score ≥1094% (90–97)62% (55–68)70% (64–75)92% (86–95)
Ohio Lead Risk Score ≥1191% (86–94)66% (59–72)71% (65–76)88% (83–93)
CDC* 95% (91–98)41% (35–48)60% (55–65)91% (83–95)
ODH 85% (79–89)65% (59–71)69% (64–75)82% (76–87)
  • CI indicates confidence interval.

  • * CDC single-factor screening strategy (>27% of housing in area built before 1950).

  • ODH 2-component screening strategy (CDC strategy and areas with >15% of children <5 years of age living below the poverty level).