An interesting clinical trial comparing the efficacy of oral
ibuprofen with intravenous ibuprofen for patent ductus arteriosus (PDA)
closure in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants was recently published
(1).
Although this study is quite well designed, some methodological
aspects should be addressed. The authors state that the differences found
on the efficacy of both therapies are not statistically significant.
Notwithstanding, neither the risk ratio nor the number needed to treat
(NNT) or the number needed to harm (NNH) were estimated and the
assumptions for the calculation of the sample size were not reached.
Reviewing the published data we believe that they may be in fact
significant.
In the Results, the 95%CI of the efficacy risk ratio is presented
without its estimate or the previous mention of its calculation. On the
other hand, the risk ratio for adverse effects appears in the Discussion
without being previously mentioned in the Results. In both cases, their
interpretation lacks the insight due to a confidence interval that does
not correspond to the confidence actually reached by the study itself.
Dismissing the significance of clinical differences based on strict
statistical analysis alone, has been a cause for delaying useful medical
advances (2). Considering as non-significant 95% confidence intervals
whose limits “tangentially touch” 1.0 may be clinically hazardous if not
followed by proper discussion.
Using the proper measures of efficacy (3) and the published data, it
is possible to state that oral ibuprofen, compared with its intravenous
form for treatment of PDA, has both a NNT and a NNH of almost 4.6 (95%CI
3.1-8.8). This means that for every 9 VLBW infants with significant PDA
that are treated orally instead of intravenously, 2 more cases of success
were achieved and occurred 2 cases less of adverse effects. If such
measures of effect had been estimated, a more accurate insight on the
clinical differences would have been reported and the impact of this study
might have been greater.
Nevertheless, we stress that the results of this important clinical
trial deserve close attention from neonatologists.
1. Cherif A, Khrouf N, Jabnoun S et al. Randomized pilot study
comparing oral ibuprofen with intravenous ibuprofen in very low birth
weight infants with patent ductus arteriosus. Pediatrics 2008;122:e1256-
61.
2. Egger M, Smith GD. Meta-analysis: Potentials and promise. BMJ
1997;315:1371-4.
3. Hildebrandt M, Bender R, Gehrmann U et al. Calculating confidence
intervals for impact numbers. BMC Medi Res Methodol 2006;6:32-9.
Conflict of Interest:
None declared