PEDIATRICS Vol. 123 No. 1 January 2009, pp. e80-e86 (doi:10.1542/peds.2008-1118)
ARTICLE |
Physical Fitness and Physical Activity at Age 13 Years as Predictors of Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors at Ages 15, 25, 33, and 40 Years: Extended Follow-up of the Oslo Youth Study
a Department of Nutrition and
e Section for Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
b MRC Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland
c Department of Public Health and Primary Health Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
d Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| ABSTRACT |
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OBJECTIVE. Few studies have examined the association of childhood physical activity and physical fitness with cardiovascular disease risk factors in adulthood. Furthermore, interpretation of these findings is hampered by methodologic shortcomings. In a population-based cohort study, we explored the influence, if any, of childhood physical activity and physical fitness on later cardiovascular disease risk factors.
METHODS. Data were taken from the Oslo Youth Study, a prospective cohort study that began in 1979, when 1016 students (mean age: 13 years; range: 11–15 years) who were attending 6 schools were invited to participate in a health education intervention. Cardiovascular disease risk factor data were collected at baseline and again in 1981 (mean age: 15 years; range: 13–17 years), 1991 (mean age: 25; range: 23–27 years), 1999 (mean age: 33; range: 31–35 years), and 2006 (mean age: 40; range: 38–42 years).
RESULTS. At baseline, physical fitness was inversely related to BMI, triceps skinfold thickness, and blood pressure (systolic and diastolic; N = 716). These associations were also present in prospective analyses at ages 15 (N = 472), 25 (N = 280; except for systolic blood pressure), and 33 years (N = 410, only BMI measured)—albeit with progressively diminishing magnitude—but were lost at 40 years (N = 294). There were fewer relationships with cardiovascular disease risk factors when physical activity was the exposure of interest. Controlling for educational attainment of both the parent and the study member had little impact on these associations.
CONCLUSIONS. Although childhood physical fitness seems to reveal some inverse associations with obesity and blood pressure in early adulthood, these effects diminished markedly into middle age.
Key Words: cohort CVD fitness longitudinal physical activity risk factors
Abbreviations: BP—blood pressure CVD—cardiovascular disease LTPA—leisure time physical activity
O2—maximum oxygen uptake HDL—high-density lipoprotein HbA1c—glycosylated hemoglobin
A series of cohort studies conducted in the past 6 decades identified a range of risk factors, measured in middle- and older-aged individuals, for cardiovascular disease (CVD),1,2 a leading cause of death and morbidity in industrialized countries3 and a prominent public health problem in low- to middle-income societies.4,5 These well-documented predictors include obesity and overweight6; cigarette smoking7; raised blood glucose,8,9 blood pressure (BP),10 and serum cholesterol11; psychosocial factors12; and lower levels of physical activity or physical fitness13–17; however, it is evident that these risk factors, when measured solely in midlife, do not fully explain variations in CVD.18–20 This observation has prompted work into emerging risk factors (eg, genetic markers, inflammatory factors, psychosocial indices), more detailed measurement of existing ones (eg, dietary characteristics), and the potential involvement of early life exposures.
Several of these risk factors when measured in early life seem to be predictive of CVD mortality and morbidity several decades later.21 Thus, when measured between childhood and young adulthood, obesity and overweight,22,23 cigarette smoking,24,25 high BP,26 raised serum cholesterol,24 and socioeconomic adversity27,28 are associated with later elevated CVD risk. To date, however, there is a marked paucity of studies that have examined the links between preadult physical activity or physical fitness and later CVD mortality and morbidity. In the absence of these clinical end-point data, investigators have instead examined the links between physical activity and/or physical fitness in youth and risk factors for CVD in adulthood. In the 3 studies that hold data on physical fitness/physical activity in childhood or adolescence and CVD risk factors in adulthood,29–31 there is a suggestion that higher physical fitness but not physical activity is associated with lower levels of CVD risk factors32; however, interpretation of findings is hampered by methodologic shortcomings that include a small sample size29,31; the absence of data on socioeconomic position, which, given its correlation with both CVD risk factors33,34 and physical fitness/physical activity,35,36 is a candidate confounding factor; and a modest follow-up period.30 The last is particularly important: given the suggestion of progressively weaker tracking coefficients for CVD risk factors in children who were followed serially into adult life,37 it is likely that the influence of physical fitness and physical activity on CVD risk factors will likewise diminish over time.
In the Oslo Youth Study, the cross-sectional associations among physical fitness, physical activity, and CVD risk factors measured when the study participants were
13 years of age have been previously reported.38 Subsequent selective measurement of CVD risk factors took place at ages 15, 25, 33 (self-reports of weight and height only), and 40 years. Analyses of these data therefore facilitate a more detailed examination of the influence of physical fitness and leisure time physical activity (LTPA) on CVD risk indices across the life course into middle age than has previously been possible.
| METHODS |
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The Oslo Youth Study began in 1979, when 1016 primary- and secondary-school students (mean age: 13 years; range: 11–15 years) who were attending 6 schools in socioeconomically disparate neighborhoods of Oslo were invited to participate in a health education intervention. Begun in the autumn semester of 1979 and described in detail elsewhere,39–41 the objective of the intervention was to discourage smoking initiation and improve physical activity and dietary habits. As part of the schools-based intervention, students completed a self-administered questionnaire and underwent a health examination in 1979 (aged
13 years) and 1981 (aged 15). In adulthood, resurveys took place in 1991 (aged 25), 1999 (questionnaire only; aged 33), and 2006 (aged 40). The study was initially approved by the Oslo City Health Authorities; subsequent surveys were approved by the Norwegian Data Inspectorate and the Regional committee for medical research ethics.
Assessment of Physical Fitness and Physical Activity
In 1979, maximum oxygen uptake (
O2max; milliliters of O2 per kilogram of body weight per minute) was indirectly assessed by trained staff who recorded pulse rate during a submaximal cycle–based exercise test. This approach to measuring
O2max is predicated on the assumption that from initiation of the workload and heartbeat frequency measured in steady state (usually after 4–6 minutes of exertion),
O2max can be estimated by extrapolating to the assumed maximum heart rate.42 During the test, students pedaled at a steady rate of 50 pedal revolutions per minute with the workload adjusted by a mechanical breaking mechanism. Standard workloads were 50, 100, 150, and 175 W from an assumed end pulse of 140 to 160 beats per minute. Given that this protocol was originally devised for an adult population with an estimated maximum heart rate of 195 beats per minute, the predicted
O2max of a child population that has a higher maximum heart rate will be an underestimation. As previously described,38 a correction factor of 1.18 was therefore used to convert
O2 max values herein.
Self-administered questionnaires that contained an inquiry regarding LTPA were administered in 1991, 1999, and 2006: "How often do you exercise for at least half an hour to the extent that you sweat and/or are short of breath?" (seldom [ie, less than following category]; 2–3 times per month; once a week; 2–3 times per week; 4–6 times per week; every day). The same inquiry was made in 1979 and 1981, with the exception that the response "4 to 6 times per week" was omitted. In addition to examining the relation of a single measurement of physical activity at age 13 with later CVD risk factors, we explored the influence of an accumulative score. To do so, we summed physical activity scores for the years 1979, 1991, and 1999 (possible range: 3–17); where responses from 1979 and/or 1999 were missing, values from 1981 (2) and 2006 (14) were substituted (corresponding substitutions for BMI were 3 and 27, respectively).
Assessment of CVD Risk Factors
In 1979 and 1981, data collection took place in the schools and was conducted by 2 trained research workers. Subsequently, questionnaires were mailed to the study participants, and respondents were invited to attend a health examination at a study center in Oslo (in 1991, conducted by 2 trained nurses) or with their personal physician (in 2006). These examinations included measurement of height, weight, triceps skinfold thickness (1979, 1981, and 1991 only; mean of 2 measures are used in these analyses), waist and hip circumferences (1991 and 2006), and, during the school years, pubertal development using the Tanner scale43 (based on external genitalia for boys and breasts for girls44). BMI was computed on the basis of the usual formula (weight/[height]2 kg/m2).
Resting BP was ascertained using a random-0 sphygmomanometer in 1979, 1981 (for both of these visits, 2 measurements were taken by the same research worker by using a sphygmomanometer), and 1991 (3 readings taken by 2 trained nurses by using a Dinamap device). In 2006, 2 measurements were taken by the participant's general practitioner (type of instrument not recorded). The mean of these values for each year was used herein. Venipuncture was made for measurements of serum total and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglycerides, and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c; 2006 only). Whether the study member had fasted was recorded for all years. Fasting and nonfasting values for triglyceride, cholesterol, and HbA1c were pooled because the analyses restricted to either group revealed essentially the same results. Both fasting and nonfasting values were used for total and HDL cholesterol and HbA1c analyses. The analyses of HbA1c in 2006 facilitated an assessment of the presence of the metabolic syndrome in a subgroup (n = 118) on the basis of the following criteria among fasting participants: triglyceride level
1.70 mmol/L, HbA1c level >5.45%, systolic BP level
130 mmHg or diastolic BP level
85 mmHg, HDL cholesterol level <1.30 mmol/L for women and <1.04 mmol/L for men, and waist circumference
80 cm for women and
94 cm for men.
Educational attainment of the parent (range: elementary school (7 years) to college/university) was ascertained from a parental questionnaire administered in 1979/1981 and was used as our indicator of early-life socioeconomic position. When data on both mothers and fathers were available, those with the highest level of attained education were used in the analyses. The same inquiries were made of the study participants when they were aged 25 to 40 years.
Statistical Analyses
Linear regression analysis was used to summarize the relation of physical fitness and LTPA in 1979 with subsequent measurement of BMI, waist circumference, total serum cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, systolic and diastolic BP, and HbA1c. In preliminary analyses, there was no evidence of differential associations in men and women, so data were pooled and adjusted for gender. Given the narrow age range of the study participants, no adjustment was made for chronological age. Control for pubertal development, original study intervention group, and smoking status had no impact on the physical fitness/physical activity–CVD risk factor associations, so these adjustments are not shown here. We adjusted for socioeconomic position on the basis of parents' and study participants' educational attainment, the latter recorded at each survey. Furthermore, in the analyses involving LTPA as the exposure of interest, we controlled for physical fitness with the aim of examining whether the impact of activity on CVD risk factors was mediated via fitness. SPSS 14.0 (SPSS, Inc, Chicago, IL) was used in all analyses.
Of the 1016 students who were invited to take part in the study in 1979, 827 (81.4%) participated. Complete data on all variables included herein were available for 716 study participants (mean age: 13.0 years; range: 11.0–15.0), 472 in 1981 (mean age: 15.0 years; range: 13.0–17.0), 280 in 1991 (mean age: 25.1 year; range: 23.0–27.0), 410 in 1999 (mean age: 33.0 years; range: 31.0–35.0), and 294 (self-reported weight and height) and 199 (measured variables) in 2006 (mean age: 40.0 years; range: 38.0–42.0). Study participants who were pregnant or reported experiencing anorexia/bulimia nervosa were excluded from analyses in 1999 (n = 16) and 2006 (n = 3).
The presence of these missing data raises obvious concerns regarding selection bias; that is, the characteristics of people who participated in the study differed from those who did not. Table 1 presents a comparison of baseline (1979) data according to whether original study members took part in the 1991 survey (tables for the same comparisons according to later participation are available on request). The only significant differences were that responders in 1991 were more likely to be female and have parents with higher educational attainment (P < .05 for both). In 1999, the only difference between responders and nonresponders was seen for systolic BP at baseline (110 mmHg vs 108 mmHg; P = .022). In 2006, the disparities were similar to those seen in 1991 with the addition that participants were marginally more physically mature in 1979 than nonparticipants (2.6 vs 2.4; P = .037).
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| RESULTS |
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Table 2 presents the associations between childhood physical fitness and later CVD risk factors. For the purpose of comparison, we also tabulate results from a previous report of the cross-sectional analyses when the study participants were aged 13 years.38 The inverse relation between physical fitness and BMI present at age 13 was also apparent at 15, 25, and 33 years of age; however, these gradients progressively diminished in magnitude with increasing follow-up time such that the association was lost at 40 years of age. Although there was also evidence of an inverse relation between fitness and triceps skinfold thickness as measured at age 15, there was no apparent link with our third measure of adiposity, waist-to-hip ratio as measured at ages 25 and 40 years. At baseline, high fitness was associated with lower total cholesterol and triglycerides and higher HDL cholesterol. These relationships were lost at follow-up, except for total cholesterol, which became somewhat stronger and significant at 25 years of age. A negative fitness–BP (both components) gradient was seen in cross-sectional analyses at age 13 and also at ages 15 and 25 (diastolic BP only), although the effect was much attenuated. Fitness at age 13 was not related to HbA1c at age 40. Controlling for education—both parental (baseline) and participant's own (follow-up)—had essentially no impact on the association between physical fitness and CVD risk factors.
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In Table 3, the associations between physical activity at age 13 and later CVD risk factors are depicted. There was no evidence of an association with any of the risk factor outcomes, the only exception being an inverse relation with triglyceride in cross-sectional analyses at baseline; however, this relationship was attenuated after control for markers of socioeconomic position and was not present at follow-up. When the relation of accumulated physical activity score with CVD risk factors at age 40 was evaluated (Table 4), there was a suggestion that participants who were more active across the life course had a lower BMI; however, this relation was no longer significant after statistical adjustment for fitness and socioeconomic status.
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We also examined the associations of physical fitness and physical activity with later measurements of BMI, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio by using standard categorizations advanced by the World Health Organization45 and International Diabetes Federation.46 The results were essentially the same as reported already for the continuous data. Both fitness and activity were unrelated to the metabolic syndrome (17 cases in 118 participants) in any of our analyses. Finally, we also ran the previously described analyses having restricted the analytical sample only to study members who participated in all waves of the study (n = 104), and the results were essentially unchanged (all results available on request).
| DISCUSSION |
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The aim of this study was to examine the relation of LTPA and physical fitness at 13 years of age with future CVD risk factors up to 27 years later. At baseline, physical fitness was inversely related to adiposity (BMI and triceps skinfold thickness) and BP (systolic and diastolic). These associations were present in prospective analyses at ages 15, 25, and 33 years—albeit with progressively diminishing magnitude—but were lost at 40 years. There were few, if any, associations when physical activity was the exposure of interest, perhaps because this inquiry was somewhat basic. That physical fitness demonstrates stronger predictive power than activity is consistent with the few other cohort studies in this area.29–31
Evidence from 2 spheres of physical activity epidemiology, when taken together, gave us reason to anticipate that both physical activity and physical fitness would reveal associations with later measurement of other CVD risk factors. First, CVD risk factors "track" between childhood and adulthood such that higher risk children tend to become higher risk adults.47–49 Second, cross-sectional studies of children indicate that higher levels of physical fitness and physical activity have a favorable impact on CVD risk factors.50 That the fitness/activity–CVD risk factor associations that are apparent in cross-sectional studies of children are lost in prospective studies may be partially ascribed to reverse causality. Thus, although it is biologically plausible that increased fitness and activity may be related to lower levels of CVD risk factors in cross-sectional studies, it is equally possible that selected risk factors, such as obesity, may make physical activity uncomfortable, thereby lowering fitness, and this may explain the seeming inverse relation.14 Although it would of course have been valuable to examine the tracking of cardiorespiratory fitness across the life course, fitness was measured only twice in this study, and these 2 time points were very close together (1979 and 1981); that is, too short a period to investigate tracking of fitness in any meaningful way.
The strengths of this study include the measurement of both physical activity and physical fitness, repeat assessment of risk factors and covariate data across the life course, and its population-based sampling. It is not of course without its shortcomings. First, given that this is a longitudinal study, there was marked attrition at each attempt at following up the study members; however, analyses of the characteristics of people who were lost to follow-up versus those who were retained revealed few differences. Differences that were present—for gender and parents' educational level—although not unimportant, are consistent with reports from large British birth cohort studies.51,52 It is notable, however, that even with this attrition, the Oslo study is larger than others with a comparably long duration of CVD risk factor surveillance, such as the Amsterdam Growth and Health Longitudinal Study.29 Second, given the range of CVD risk factors measured on a number of occasions, we necessarily conducted a large number of statistical tests. It is therefore plausible that some of the few positive results have arisen by chance.
| CONCLUSIONS |
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On the basis of the results of this study, there is a suggestion that higher physical fitness may confer protection against later obesity and raised BP, although these effects diminished over time. Additional work to examine the long-term stability of fitness from childhood to adult life and its association with adult CVD risk factors is warranted.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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The Oslo Youth Study was initially supported by the Norwegian Cancer Society. Subsequent support includes grants from the Norwegian Research Council, the EXTRA funds from the Norwegian Foundation for Health and Rehabilitation, and from the Norwegian Health Association. Dr Kvaavik is currently funded by a grant from the Norwegian Research Council; Dr Batty is a UK Wellcome Trust Fellow (WBS U.1300.00.006.00012.01).
| FOOTNOTES |
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Accepted Sep 16, 2008.
Address correspondence to Elisabeth Kvaavik, PhD, Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, PO Box 1046 Blindern, N-0316 Oslo, Norway. E-mail: ekvaavik{at}medisin.uio.no
The authors have indicated they have no financial relationships relevant to this article to disclose.
Drs Tell and Klepp designed and conducted the baseline and early follow-up surveys for the Oslo Youth Study; Drs Kvaavik and Batty generated the idea for the manuscript, which was developed by the co-authors, and wrote the first draft around analyses conducted by Dr Kvaavik. The remaining authors commented on subsequent drafts of the manuscript.
| What's Known on This Subject The few published studies suggest that higher childhood physical fitness is associated with lower levels of selected CVD risk factors in adulthood; however, interpretation of these studies is hampered by methodologic shortcomings, in particular a modest follow-up period.
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| What This Study Adds In a study with extended follow-up, higher physical fitness in childhood but not physical activity seemed to confer protection against adult obesity and raised blood pressure.
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