PEDIATRICS Vol. 120 No. 5 November 2007, pp. 1223-1224 (doi:10.1542/peds.2007-2375)
LETTER TO THE EDITOR |
Meta-Analysis Combining 2 Previously Reported Trials on Respiratory Distress Syndrome in Neonates
Philip T. Lavin, PhDAverion International Corp
Southborough, MA 01772
To the Editor.—
The recent Moya et al article1 reported on a meta-analysis as opposed to patient-level analysis despite clear access to the databases as evidenced by the publication authorships.
The results were misleading for the following reasons.
- There were clear differences between the Safety and Effectiveness of Lucinactant Versus Exosurf in a Clinical Trial of Respiratory Distress Syndrome in Premature Infants (SELECT)2 and Surfaxin Therapy Against Respiratory Distress Syndrome (STAR)3 populations with respect to birth weight (36 g mean lower in the STAR study), gestational age (1 week mean lower in the STAR study), prenatal steroid use (8% higher in the STAR study), and Apgar score (1 unit higher in the STAR study). This is best addressed by performing a combined analysis (at the neonate level) to control for these factors.
- The different randomization allocations were a weak reason to not pool the data. The use of a meta-analysis is not efficient when all such baseline data are available and there are study and treatment imbalances.
- The authors did not state if 1-year adjusted survival was the primary efficacy end point or how the analysis was to be performed. A logistic regression model is advised for a 1-year survival end point to diffuse the impact of statistical test choice (log rank versus Wilcoxon-Gehan, which are well known to handle death timing in different manners).
- The life tables shown in their Fig 21 are quite different for the 2 studies. The Fig 2 labels are misleading relative to the text and the contents; Fig 2A looks like the pooled life table without colfosceril. The authors did not cite or explain the clear survival differences between the studies.
- The survival rate with poractant seemed more favorable than that with the other 2 animal-based surfactants, but the authors still tried to make a comparison of combined animal-based surfactants versus lucinactant without any justification. They incorrectly assumed that all animal-based surfactants can be pooled; they also did not examine lucinactant variability across the 2 studies. Thus, this conclusion was without appropriate methodologic basis.
- Numerically, the 1-year survival rate with poractant (21.9% without imputation) is, in fact, the numeric best of the 4 therapies (22.6% averaging nonimputed lucinactant across studies); a patient-level multivariate analysis is recommended to adjust for the study and treatment-group imbalances.
- The STAR authors' claim that the 1-year "corrected" lucinactant was superior to poractant (P = .04) is, at best, a posthoc comparison, because the retrospective power is only 29% to rule out a 5% disadvantage even using the 651 neonates on lucinactant versus the 128 neonates on poractant.
- The STAR study itself only had 23% power to rule out a 5% disadvantage before the study started (unlikely that the study was planned to detect this disadvantage); however, it did have 80% power to rule out a 9.3% retrospective disadvantage but was marginally significant to rule out a 5% disadvantage.
The publication, therefore, was misleading. The claims were exaggerated beyond sound statistical analysis principles.
FOOTNOTES
Financial Disclosure: Dr Lavin acts as a consultant for Chiesi Farmaceutici SpA.
REFERENCES
- Moya F, Sinha S, Gadzinowski J, et al. One-year follow-up of very preterm infants who received lucinactant for prevention of respiratory distress syndrome: results from 2 multicenter randomized, controlled trials. Pediatrics. 2007;119(6) . Available at: www.pediatrics.org/cgi/content/full/119/6/e1361
- Moya FR, Gadzinowski J, Bancalari E, et al. A multicenter, randomized, masked, comparison trial of lucinactant, colfosceril palmitate, and beractant for the prevention of respiratory distress syndrome among very preterm infants.
Pediatrics. 2005;115
:1018
–1029
[Abstract/Free Full Text] - Sinha SK, Lacaze-Masmonteil T, Valls I, et al. A multicenter, randomized, controlled trial of lucinactant versus poractant alfa among very premature infants at high risk for respiratory distress syndrome.
Pediatrics. 2005;115
:1030
–1038
[Abstract/Free Full Text]
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 1098-4275). ©2007 by the American Academy of Pediatrics
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