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Maternal and Child Health Bureau, Health Resources and Services Administration, US Department of Health and Human Services, Rockville, Maryland
| ABSTRACT |
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METHODS. A deprivation index was linked to county vital records data to derive annual infant mortality rates by deprivation quintiles from 1969 to 2000. Rates by maternal education were computed for 1986, 1991, 1996, and 2001 using national linked birth/infant death files. Log-binomial regression was used to estimate relative risks of infant mortality by deprivation and time period. Cox regression was used to model overall and birth weightspecific infant mortality risks by maternal education after adjusting for covariates. Temporal disparities were summarized by log-linear regression and inequality indices.
RESULTS. Although absolute disparities have narrowed over time, relative socioeconomic disparities in infant mortality have increased since 1985. In 19851989, infants in the most deprived group had, respectively, 36% and 57% higher risks of neonatal and postneonatal mortality than infants in the least deprived group. The corresponding relative risks increased to 43% and 96% in 19952000. The adjusted risk of infant mortality was 22% higher in 1986 for mothers with <12 years of education than for those with
16 years of education, with the relative risk increasing to 41% in 2001. Disparities were greatest among normal birth weight infants, with education-specific relative risks of neonatal and postneonatal mortality increasing significantly between 1986 and 2001.
CONCLUSIONS. Dramatic declines in infant mortality among all of the socioeconomic groups during 19692001 represent a major public health success. However, substantial socioeconomic disparities persisted in both neonatal and postneonatal mortality. Relatively larger declines in infant and postneonatal mortality among higher socioeconomic groups have contributed to the widening gap in mortality since 1985. Persistent disparities in infant mortality may reflect increasing polarization among socioeconomic groups in material and social conditions, smoking during pregnancy, and health care services.
Key Words: infant mortality neonatal postneonatal deprivation maternal education social inequality low birth weight trend United States
Abbreviations: SESsocioeconomic status NVSSNational Vital Statistics System RRrelative risk NBWnormal birth weight VLBWvery low birth weight MLBWmoderately low birth weight LBWlow birth weight SIDSsudden infant death syndrome
Infant mortality rates have declined dramatically in the United States over the past 6 decades, from a rate of 47.0 infant deaths per 1000 live births in 1940 to 6.8 in 2003.1,2 Yet, racial, ethnic, and social class disparities in infant mortality remain marked. In 2003, black infants and infants born to women with less than a high school education experienced more than twice the mortality rate of white infants and infants born to women with a college degree, respectively.2
Existence of such large social disparities in current infant mortality rates is in sharp contrast to the goals of Healthy People 2000 and 2010 that were launched a decade and a half ago.3 Their primary goal has been to reduce and ultimately eliminate health inequalities among various segments of the US population, including disparities in infant mortality among ethnic and socioeconomic groups.35
Although trends in health inequalities by race/ethnicity, gender, and geographical area are analyzed routinely in the United States, the analysis of changes in the extent of health inequalities over time according to socioeconomic characteristics is far less common. The studies that have examined temporal social patterning in health have shown increasing socioeconomic inequalities in overall US mortality, life expectancy, and mortality from cardiovascular diseases and certain cancers.611 Previous studies have also shown substantial socioeconomic inequalities in infant mortality,2,1215 although the extent to which such disparities have changed over time has received little attention.2,16 To our knowledge, no attempt has yet been made to conduct a systematic analysis of how US infant mortality rates have changed in recent decades in relation to individual socioeconomic status (SES) and area-based deprivation. The aim of this article is to examine changes in the extent of inequalities in US infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality rates between 1969 and 2001 by area socioeconomic deprivation and maternal education.
| METHODS |
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To analyze trends in infant mortality by deprivation, we used the weighted population quintile distribution of the 1990 deprivation index that classified all of the US counties into 5 groups of approximately equal population size. The groups thus created ranged from being the most deprived (first quintile) to the least disadvantaged (fifth quintile) population groups. The 1990 index was used to compute annual rates from 1969 through 2000. Specifically, county-specific infant, neonatal, and postneonatal deaths from 1969 through 2000 were obtained using the national mortality database,1 whereas county-specific live births, obtained from the natality component of NVSS, served as denominators for computing infant mortality rates.17 Each of the 3097 counties in the NVSS database was assigned 1 of the 5 deprivation categories. In the case of Alaska and Hawaii, state- rather than county-level data were used.
To estimate SES trends at the individual level, we computed infant mortality rates by maternal education using the national linked birth and infant death files for the 1986, 1991, 1996, and 2001 birth cohorts.1922 Availability of the linked file since 1983 permits the analysis of educational trends in infant mortality over time. Maternal education was measured by the number of years of school completed and was grouped into 4 categories: <12, 12, 13 to 15, and
16 years. Other measures of individual SES, such as income, occupation, or employment status, are not available in the linked files.2,1922
Cox proportional hazards regression model, fitted by the SAS PHREG procedure (SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC), was used to estimate relative risks (RRs; hazard ratios) of infant, neonatal, and postneontal mortality associated with maternal education before and after adjusting for such covariates as maternal age (
19, 2034, or
35 years), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white, black, Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, or American Indian/Alaska Native), marital status (married or unmarried), live birth order (1, 23, or
4), infant sex, plurality (singleton or twin/multiple birth), prenatal care use (first trimester, second trimester, third trimester, or no care), smoking during pregnancy (unavailable for the 1986 cohort), gestational age (<33, 3336, or
37 weeks), and birth weight (<1500, 15002499, or
2500 g).14,23,24 We preferred the Cox model to the logistic model, because the latter fails to take into account the varying survival times of infants dying in the first year of life.14 Hazards proportionality assumption of the Cox model was tested and confirmed by inspecting the plots of log-log survivor functions against survival time for various covariate categories, including those for maternal education.14,23,24 Survival times were measured in days. In estimating the risk of infant mortality, all of the live births surviving beyond the first year of life were treated as right-censored observations. Analyses for the 1986, 1991, 1996, and 2001 linked birth cohorts were based on 2906066, 4111059, 3892133, and 4026323 live births, respectively.1922
Log-binomial regression, estimated by the SAS GENMOD procedure (SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC), was used to estimate RRs of infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality for each deprivation group and time period.25 Although rates for each deprivation group were computed annually from 1969 to 2000, we modeled infant mortality as a function of area deprivation for four 5-year and two 6-year time periods, 19691974, 19751979, 19801984, 19851989, 19901994, and 19952000, to reduce variability associated with annual rates and to provide more stable RR estimates. Other than RRs, disparities in infant mortality were also measured by the absolute difference in rates between the least deprived group (or the highest education group) and each of the other deprivation or education groups. Log-linear regression was used to calculate average annual exponential rates of decline in infant mortality for each deprivation group.12 An index of disparity, which approximated in relative terms the average deviation of the rates from the rate for the highest SES group, was used to summarize disparities over time across all of the deprivation and education groups.26,27 This relative mean deviation index of disparity was calculated as follows:
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| RESULTS |
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3.8% per year during 19692000. Tables 1 and 2 summarize changing county socioeconomic differentials in infant mortality across different time periods. Between 1969 and 1984, both absolute and relative socioeconomic disparities in infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality declined. For example, the interquintile differences (Q1Q5) in infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality rates declined from 8.3, 5.3, and 3.0 deaths per 1000 live births in 19691974 to 3.7, 1.9, and 1.8 in 19801984, respectively (Table 1). The RRs of infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality between the least and most deprived groups dropped significantly from 1.56, 1.46, and 1.86 in 19691974 to 1.38, 1.28, and 1.62 in 19801984, respectively (Table 2).
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Trends in Educational Disparities in Overall Infant, Neonatal, and Postneonatal Mortality
Table 3 shows changes in individual-level educational disparities in infant mortality between 1986 and 2001. Although area deprivation quintiles are substantively not equivalent to the 4 maternal educational strata, the absolute and relative socioeconomic disparities in infant mortality are indeed greater at the individual level than at the area level. All of the education groups showed substantial declines in mortality, with the mortality rate for infants born to mothers with <12 years of education decreasing by 45% from 15.32 in 1986 to 8.49 deaths per 1000 live births in 2001. The rate for infants born to mothers with
16 years of education fell by 38% from 6.85 in 1986 to 4.24 deaths per 1000 live births in 2001. Between 1986 and 2001, the neonatal mortality rates for infants born to mothers with <12 and
16 years of education decreased by 44% and 35% respectively, whereas the corresponding postneonatal mortality rates decreased by 46%.
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Table 4 shows crude and adjusted RRs (hazard ratios) of mortality associated with maternal education for each birth cohort in 1986, 1991, 1996, and 2001. In 1986, the crude RRs indicate 125%, 48%, and 21% higher mortality risks for infants born to mothers with <12, 12, and 13 to 15 years of education compared with infants born to mothers with a college degree (model 1). Crude RRs of infant mortality in 2001 decreased for mothers with <12 years of education (RR: 2.00) but increased significantly for mothers with 12 and 13 to 15 years of education (RR: 1.75 and 1.44, respectively). Adjusting for maternal age, race/ethnicity, marital status, birth order, infant sex, plurality, and prenatal care in model 2 decreased the RRs in all 4 of the birth cohorts, but the adjusted relative educational disparities were greater in 2001 than in 1986. The inclusion of prenatal smoking, gestational age, and birth weight, along with all of the other covariates in model 2 further decreased the RRs associated with education, but they all remained statistically significant (model 3). Compared with
16 years of education, the fully adjusted risk of infant mortality associated with <12 and 12 years of education was 22% and 10% higher in 1986 and 41% and 28% higher in 2001, respectively, with the increase in the RRs being statistically significantly during 19862001.
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The crude RRs show particularly marked differentials in postneonatal mortality by maternal education, with the risk being
3.3 times greater in each cohort for mothers with <12 years of education than for those with
16 years of education (model 1). Even after the adjustment for all of the covariates, lower maternal education was associated with substantially increased postneonatal mortality, with the RRs associated with high school education or less significantly higher in 2001 than in 1986 (model 3).
Trends in Educational Disparities in Birth Weightspecific Infant Mortality
Although the RRs in Table 4 adjust for educational differences in the birth weight composition, they do not reflect the extent to which educational differences in infant mortality vary across different birth weight strata. Birth weightspecific analyses should reveal whether educational disparities in infant mortality are more pronounced among the low or normal birth weight (NBW) infants and whether such disparities have changed over time. Infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality rates show dramatic declines between 1986 and 2001 for the 3 birth weight strata (Table 5). The rate of decline in neonatal mortality during 19862001, however, was greater for very low birth weight (VLBW), moderately low birth weight (MLBW), and NBW infants in the highest educational category than in the lower educational categories. The adjusted RRs indicate significant educational differences in neonatal mortality risks of VLBW infants in 2001 but not in 1986. However, the adjusted RRs of neonatal mortality associated with education did not increase significantly between 1986 and 2001. Lower education was associated with a significantly decreased neonatal mortality risk for MLBW infants in 1986, which is consistent with sometimes higher survival of socially disadvantaged infants at low birth weights (LBWs). However, this survival advantage disappeared by 2001. Among the NBW infants, the adjusted RRs of neonatal mortality associated with <12 years of education increased from 1.30 in 1986 to 1.62 in 2001 (Table 5).
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| DISCUSSION |
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87434 fewer infant deaths during 19691974, compared with 39867 fewer deaths during 19952000. Moreover, the absolute change during 19692000 also favored the most deprived group (a decline of 14 infant deaths per 1000 live births) compared with the least deprived group (a reduction of 9 deaths). A similar calculation shows more infants saved per 1000 live births during 19862001 for mothers with <12 years of education than for mothers with
16 years of education. The success in reducing absolute disparities in infant mortality must be weighed against changes in the relative measures of disparity, which are particularly important for assessing the progress of various social groups relative to the best-off group toward reaching a health policy goal, such as the elimination of health disparities.5,26,27,29 Despite the impressive overall reductions in mortality over the long term, large socioeconomic inequalities in infant mortality persisted throughout the study period. Interestingly, socioeconomic disparities in infant mortality declined markedly between 1969 and 1984 both in absolute and relative terms. However, the relative socioeconomic disparities in infant and postneonatal mortality, as measured by the summary inequality indices and crude and adjusted RRs, increased substantially since 1985. Improvements in infant mortality would be substantial if infants in the lower SES groups experienced mortality rates similar to those of the highest SES group.
The pattern of continuing socioeconomic disparities in US infant mortality over the past 3 decades is consistent with the persistent occupational social class inequalities in infant mortality in the United Kingdom between 1975 and 2001.3032 Moreover, the recent pattern of increasing socioeconomic inequalities in US infant mortality coincides with increasing inequalities in US life expectancy and mortality among working-age adults and the elderly.810 However, the recent patterns in infant mortality differed from those for the United States during 19301960.33 Kitagawa and Hauser33 showed substantial gradients in infant mortality by census tract SES for the Chicago, IL, area in 1930, 1940, and 1960. Although infant mortality among white infants generally decreased with increasing SES levels in each period, the difference in infant mortality between the lowest and highest SES groups diminished markedly between 1930 and 1960. Our national findings also differed from those of an ecological study of birth outcomes in 30 health districts of New York City, NY, which showed a significantly decreasing income gradient in infant mortality during 19882001; the relative rate ratio of infant mortality between the lowest and highest income quartiles decreased from 1.66 in 1988 to 1.25 in 2001.16 A recent Canadian study also showed a narrowing of the SES gap, both in terms of rate differences and rate ratios.28 Infant mortality in urban Canada in 1971 was 97% higher in the poorest quintile compared with the richest quintile. However, by 1996, the inequality between the richest and poorest quintiles had diminished to 61%.
Changing socioeconomic inequalities in infant mortality over time may reflect temporal inequalities in the material and social living conditions between SES groups, both in absolute and relative terms. Absolute differences between deprivation groups in income, wealth, assets (as measured by homeownership and median home value), poverty, unemployment, female-headed households, and health care personnel per capita widened between 1970 and 2000 and were more pronounced in the 1990s than in the 1970s and 1980s.810 Similarly, the gap in relative income disparity between deprivation groups increased markedly.810 Income differentials between educational strata also widened considerably. The mean earnings differential between those without a high school diploma and those with more than a bachelor's education increased from $10527 in 1975 to $54076 in 2001, and the ratio of mean earnings increased from 2.7 in 1975 to 3.9 in 2001.34
Temporal socioeconomic inequalities in infant mortality may also be related to geographical and SES inequalities in the other important social, behavioral, and health care factors known to be associated with infant mortality. The key risk factors, smoking during pregnancy, delayed or no prenatal care, and lack of health care coverage, all strongly associated with increased infant mortality risks, vary substantially by county deprivation levels and maternal education.2,35 Although rates of smoking during pregnancy have declined for all educational groups, the pace of decline has been faster for women in the higher educational strata.38 As a result, educational disparities in smoking during pregnancy increased during the last decade. In 1992, women with less than a high school education were 7.1 times more likely to smoke during pregnancy than those with a college degree.37 In 2002, this differential increased to 11.8 times.17 Although long-term trend data on prenatal smoking are lacking, they are expected to be similar to the trend of consistently increasing educational disparities in smoking prevalence in the general female population.36 SES disparities in prenatal care use have also persisted in the past 2 decades.17,38
Declining rates of teenage childbearing (births to mothers
20 years) and improved survival of LBW infants may also have contributed to the declines in overall US infant mortality. As shown here and based on other linked data, SES disparities have persisted despite substantial reductions in the incidence of teenage childbearing and in mortality of VLBW and MLBW infants over the long term.36 Socioeconomic differences in maternal health status, particularly such medical conditions as chronic and pregnancy-related hypertension, heart and lung disease, diabetes (including gestational diabetes), and anemia,22 may also have contributed to temporal disparities in infant mortality.
Other than reductions in smoking during pregnancy and improved medical care, the introduction of Medicaid in 1965, a federally funded public insurance program for poor and deprived children and socially disadvantaged groups, may have been responsible for declines in overall infant mortality and narrowing of the socioeconomic gap during 19691984.36 During the 1960s and 1970s, mortality from such leading causes of infant death as congenital anomalies, LBW, pneumonia and influenza, and infections all fell dramatically, possibly because of improved perinatal and neonatal medical care.12,36
What might explain increasing socioeconomic disparities in US infant mortality since 1985? Controlling for such risk factors as prenatal smoking, prenatal care, preterm birth, and LBW partly accounted for the observed SES differences in infant mortality. However, significant differences remained, particularly for the more recent cohorts, indicating that maternal education has become an increasingly important predictor of infant survival in both the neonatal and postneonatal periods.
Birth weightspecific analyses presented here may shed some light on the potential factors responsible for the increasing disparity in infant mortality. Substantial absolute declines in the mortality of VLBW and MLW infants between 1986 and 2001 across all of the education groups undoubtedly reflect the prominent role of improved access and use of obstetric and neonatal intensive care in reducing mortality.36,40 However, the relatively slower declines in mortality among LBW infants from the lower SES groups have resulted in a widening of the educational gradient in neonatal and postneonatal mortality over time, thus suggesting a continuing gap in access to high-quality neonatal and infant health care across various SES groups.
Educational inequalities in total infant mortality are driven largely by educational gradients in mortality among NBW infants (because they compose >90% of all births), which not only have increased over time but have become quite steep. This may reflect an increasingly important role of social and environmental influences on infant mortality risks in the United States.12,14 Cause-specific mortality analyses are needed to identify more precisely what factors might have been responsible for increasing or persistent socioeconomic inequalities in infant mortality. A recent US study showed substantial and persistent area SES disparities in infant mortality from such major causes of death as congenital anomalies, sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), LBW, and injuries.41 Although birth defects mortality declined impressively during 19692000 for all groups, the deprivation gradient widened substantially since 1985, a temporal pattern consistent with that shown here in overall infant mortality. SIDS mortality showed much steeper deprivation gradients in the 1990s than in the 1980s. Infant mortality because of LBW rose significantly between 1986 and 1998 for more deprived groups but remained stable for less deprived groups, leading to increasing SES disparities in mortality from this cause.41
When first introduced in the general population, specific behavioral and public health interventions and advances in medical care may lead to an improved overall population health but may very well increase health disparities, particularly in the short run.29,42 Such is the case with SIDS mortality in the United States, which declined dramatically in the 1990s but saw social inequalities widen between 1989 and 1998 despite the introduction in June 1994 of the Back to Sleep campaign.43 Two recent Norwegian studies also found an increasing educational inequality in postneonatal and SIDS mortality in Norway between 1969 and 1995.44,45
Differentials in infant mortality between deprivation groups shown here are probably underestimated, because we used counties, rather than smaller and more homogeneous geographic areas, such as census tracts or neighborhoods, to define deprivation groups. Many US counties are large geographic areas or population units with substantial socioeconomic heterogeneity.811 Unfortunately, national vital records data do not identify geographic areas smaller than counties for confidentiality protection of individual information on birth and death certificates.810 Vital records for some states, such as those for California, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Virginia, and Kansas, may contain census tract or block group geocodes for the 1990 and 2000 censuses that could allow investigators to define deprivation levels at the neighborhood level, resulting in less misclassification of area-based SES. However, because the 1970 and 1980 censuses were not fully tracted, temporal analyses of census tract-based disparities in infant mortality, unlike our county-based analysis, may not extend as far back as 1969. The 1990 deprivation index has been shown to provide a stable socioeconomic classification of counties over time,811 and the use of the 1980 index produced infant mortality trends similar to those based on the 1990 index. The deprivation indices for the 1970, 1980, and 1990 censuses were highly correlated.811 The correlation of the 1990 index with the 1970 and 1980 indices was 0.90 and 0.94, respectively. Thus, the sole use of the 1990 index to construct deprivation quintiles for the entire study period is unlikely to have caused any substantial area misclassification, and the general trend of persistent inequalities in infant mortality holds regardless of which index is used.
Although this study focused on trends in overall socioeconomic disparities, it is important to note that both area- and individual-level SES gradients in infant mortality do vary by race/ethnicity. Our analysis revealed that the area deprivation gradients were more pronounced and consistent for whites than for blacks (data not shown). Disparities in infant mortality by maternal education were also greater for whites than for blacks, Hispanics, and Asian/Pacific Islanders.2 Changes in the extent of SES disparities in infant mortality over time for major racial/ethnic groups will be explored more fully in a subsequent article.
Behavioral and health policy interventions (eg, smoking reduction, tobacco regulation and advertising, improving access to and use of early and comprehensive prenatal care, and universal health care coverage) have the potential to reduce socioeconomic inequalities in infant mortality in both absolute and relative terms. Large socioeconomic disparities in infant mortality remain one of the primary reasons for the continued unfavorable international standing of the US infant mortality rate when compared with rates for the other industrialized countries; the US ranking dropped from being the 11th best in 1960 to only the 28th best in 2002.36 Continuing SES disparities in infant mortality may also prove to be a major obstacle in reaching the Healthy People 2010 goals. As shown here, the infant mortality rates for the 3 most deprived groups in 2000 (representing
60% of the total population) and for those with high school education or less in 2001 (representing 53% of all mothers) were all greater than the year 2000 national target of 7 deaths per 1000 live births.3 It will be a formidable challenge to meet the 2010 target of 4.5 deaths per 1000 live births, particularly for infants in the most disadvantaged SES groups, of which the mortality rates would have to be reduced by 50% during this decade.3,4
| FOOTNOTES |
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Address correspondence to Gopal K. Singh, PhD, Maternal and Child Health Bureau, Health Resources and Services Administration, 5600 Fishers La, Room 18-41, Rockville, MD 20857. E-mail: gsingh{at}hrsa.gov
The views expressed are the authors' and not necessarily those of the Health Resources and Services Administration or the US Department of Health and Human Services.
The authors have indicated they have no financial relationships relevant to this article to disclose.
| REFERENCES |
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