We appreciate the comments by Dr Lee. We discussed in our article1 and agree that unmeasured confounding processes of care or unmeasured variables may ultimately be found to explain our results. In the following we try to address Dr Lee's specific concerns.
We combined the reports of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood cultures to increase our statistical power to detect meaningful differences between the 2 treatment approaches in neonates who had documented infection. That is, were neonates who were treated with ampicillin/cefotaxime infected more often than neonates who were treated with ampicillin/gentamicin? Positive CSF cultures were rare (<2 in 1000 patients; Table 1).
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In Table 2 we report the mortality rate in 2 subgroups of neonates: those who did not have any report of a positive (blood or CSF) culture result and those neonates in whom there was a report of a positive blood or CSF culture. In both subgroups, mortality is higher for neonates who were treated with ampicillin and cefotaxime compared to neonates who were treated with ampicillin and gentamicin.
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It is reasonable to include diagnoses that precede the decision to treat a patient with antibiotics as confounding variables. Thus, we created the variable "report of depression" to capture neonates who had a diagnosis of perinatal depression and asphyxia, and these types of diagnoses were included in our model. In contrast, liver dysfunction, renal dysfunction, and cardiac arrest may be complications of infection and/or an adverse effect of a drug. We evaluated these events as "complications" of therapy with the hope that we would identify the cause for the association between mortality and ampicillin/cefotaxime use. We were not able to find a cause, and therefore we have tried to be very cautious in our conclusions. Most of these "complications" were rare (occurring in <1% of the study cohort), and none explained the differences in mortality.
An administrative data set is not the ideal tool for definitively finding cause-and-effect relationships. Instead, the data generate an important hypothesis, namely, that the empiric use of ampicillin/cefotaxime may increase mortality when compared to the empiric use of ampicillin/gentamicin. The reason for publishing our work was to stimulate investigators to evaluate this hypothesis.
REFERENCE
Related articles in Pediatrics:
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