ELECTRONIC ARTICLE |

* Department of Pediatrics, Brown Medical School, and Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island
National Vaccine Program Office, Washington, DC
| ABSTRACT |
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1 per 10 000 (range of 1 in 5000 to 1 in 12 000) vaccine recipients. Whether this association will exist with other candidate rotavirus vaccine strains and whether the attributable risk for intussusception would be similar in other populations administered this vaccine are unclear. Because perceptions of vaccine safety derive from the relative disease burdens of the illness prevented and adverse events induced, the acceptance of rare adverse events may vary substantially in different settings. Nevertheless, a continuing consensus on the need for a safe and effective vaccine to prevent rotavirus gastroenteritis, especially for use in developing countries, exists.
Key Words: intussusception oral vaccines rotavirus rotavirus infection rotavirus vaccines
Abbreviations: CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ACIP, Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices RRV-TV, rhesus-human reassortant rotavirus tetravalent vaccine NIH, National Institutes of Health NVPO, National Vaccine Program Office NVAC, National Vaccine Advisory Committee WHO, World Health Organization GAVI, Global Alliance on Vaccines and Immunization NIAID, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases VAERS, Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System
| INTRODUCTION |
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On September 57, 2001, a second workshop was held in Arlington, Virginia, by the National Vaccine Advisory Committee (NVAC) and the NVPO to review this research. The objectives of the 2001 workshop were as follows:
The responsibilities of the NVAC are to advise the Department of Health and Human Services on programmatic policies concerning immunizations, whereas the ACIP makes technical recommendations on the use of vaccines. Major issues for the NVAC include enhancement of new and improved vaccines by fostering public and private sector collaborations, coordination of the multiple agencies in the federal government involved with prevention of disease through use of safe and effective vaccines, and enhanced related research. Thus, although this workshop focused on rotavirus vaccine, the discussions have broad implications for vaccine policy, such as the question of an acceptable risk for any given vaccine and management of these risks. In addition, the deliberations of this workshop were intended to serve as the basis for a subsequent review by the ACIP of recommendations pertaining to the use of RRV-TV, new rotavirus vaccines that may be considered for licensure, and other oral vaccines intended for use nationally and internationally.
In addition to the findings of the 2000 NIH/NVPO workshop, the discussions from 2 other related meetings held shortly thereafter were reviewed, one by the World Health Organization (WHO) and the other by the Global Alliance on Vaccines and Immunizations (GAVI). Among the conclusions of the WHO workshop was that the experience with RRV-TV should not discourage additional studies of rotavirus vaccines.2 The consensus was clear that an urgent need exists for these studies, and failure to conduct them would be unethical. Considerable interest also was expressed in the possibility of initiating rotavirus immunization in the neonatal period, an option that has been only preliminarily investigated to date. The GAVI Task Force on Research and Development identified rotavirus vaccine as 1 of the top 3 priority vaccines for international development (unpublished data). This conclusion was similar to that made by a 1986 Institute of Medicine committee that identified rotavirus vaccine as a priority for developing countries where morbidity and mortality are greater than in the United States and other developed nations.3 The GAVI Task Force had several specific proposals for assessing the risk of intussusception in association with rotavirus vaccination, including the need for methods to estimate risk, protocols for monitoring this risk, and a standard case definition. Of note, China is the only country that has a rotavirus vaccine in use, a lamb-derived strain. Very limited data are available about its efficacy and safety, including no information on the occurrence of intussusception in association with its administration.
| DISEASE BURDEN |
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The reported incidence of hospitalization worldwide for rotavirus disease ranges from 1 in 16 children in Venezuela to 1 in 77 children in the United States. The current global burden of rotavirus disease is substantial, accounting for an estimated 452 000 deaths each year. This number is
50% lower than that of the 1986 Institute of Medicine assessment, a decline that presumably is attributable to the increasing utilization of oral rehydration therapy worldwide. Nevertheless, rotavirus disease remains a leading global cause of infant and childhood illness and death, necessitating its prevention through vaccination.
| VACCINE DEVELOPMENT |
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90 infants divided into 3 groups, each of whom received a different vaccination schedule, demonstrated comparable immunogenicity by neutralization of RRV8 and lack of fever at 2 months of age in a vaccine schedule initiated at birth and continued at 2 and 4 months of age in comparison to a schedule where the first dose was given at 2 months of age.9 This finding potentially is very important for future vaccine strategies, especially in developing countries that use the immunization schedule of the WHO Expanded Program on Immunization, which is initiated at birth. The data reviewed by Dr Kapikian were encouraging but demonstrated the challenges in developing a safe and effective rotavirus vaccine.
A prominent feature that emerged during the discussion that followed was the very different characteristics of the various candidate vaccines. Strains differ considerably in their ability to replicate in the human intestine. For example, whereas rhesus-human rotavirus vaccine strains have the capacity to replicate in the human small intestine and cause diarrhea in several species other than monkeys, bovine-human rotavirus vaccine replicates poorly in human intestines requiring administration of a higher dose. In addition, the rhesus vaccine strains cause hepatitis in certain strains of inbred immunodeficient mice. They also have the capacity to replicate in vitro in the absence of trypsin. The degree to which these biological differences are important in the pathogenesis of intussusception in human infants and in immunogenicity remains unclear. A tantalizing unpublished finding presented by Dr John D. Patton of the NIAID was the hypervariability in gene 5 in the RRV-TV, which might be a significant clue in understanding the difference between this and other vaccine strains in their potential to induce intussusception.
| INTUSSUSCEPTION RECOGNITION AND DISEASE BURDEN |
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Dr Julie Bines from Melbourne, Australia, summarized a WHO review of 269 published studies of intussusception from 70 countries. The incidence of intussusception varies in different countries. In most developed countries, the incidence of intussusception in the first year of life is <1 per 1000. The incidence in the United States appears to be lower than that in other countries, such as Japan, and the incidence fluctuates yearly. Although the incidence in developing countries appears to be lower than that in industrialized areas, the extent to which this difference relates to decreased detection and differing case definitions is not clear. Furthermore, the incidence of intussusception appears to be increasing in some countries, such as China, Ghana and the West Indies, and decreasing in others, such as Scotland, Nigeria and possibly the United States. Dr Bines also noted that the triad of rectal bleeding, vomiting and abdominal pain, classically associated with intussusception, has been reported to range from 10% to 82% in different studies. Another finding was that the mortality in developed countries of 0.3% is much lower than that in developing countries where it can be as high as 54%. Of particular note, this WHO assessment resulted in a clinical case definition, which has been validated in a study in Melbourne, Australia, with a sensitivity of 96% and specificity of 99%. On publication, this case definition should be very helpful in future surveillance of intussusception in vaccine trials and postlicensure studies.
In a study in progress, Dr Robert Chen and his colleagues at the CDC, in a continuing review of the RRV-TV-related events reported to the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS), identified reports of blood in stool, including rectal bleeding, currant jelly stools, and/or blood in rectal mucous. Of the 37 VAERS reports, 10 were categorized as serious and 27 as nonserious. The distinguishing features in this categorization were whether an infant was hospitalized, was disabled, suffered a life-threatening illness, or had a prolonged hospital stay. These stool and rectal findings occurred 3 to 7 days after vaccination and were not reported in association with administration of other vaccines. Whether these cases represent a prodrome of intussusception or a reporting bias remains to be determined but will need to be considered in the design of future rotavirus vaccine trials.
Dr Mary Allen Staat of Childrens Hospital Medical Center of Cincinnati reviewed the little data available that examined the epidemiology and disease burden of intussusception in the United States and reported on her recent study, which defined the rate of intussusception for the population of Hamilton County, Ohio, from 1990 through 2000.10 This study illustrated the shortcomings of using hospital data to assess the risk of intussusception. She noted the following 3 pitfalls: inaccurate identification of patient residence, incorrect coding of diagnoses, and variable management of intussusception. For example, as many as 40% of children with intussusception remain in the hospital for <24 hours, and these short-stay admissions are not considered hospitalizations. She also reported that the proportion of cases that are hospitalized varies from year to year.
In a study from New Delhi, no cases of hospitalized patients with intussusception in an encatchment area of 48 000 infants were detected, suggesting that either intussusception may be less common in developing countries or children with intussusception are not brought to a hospital. However, this study, currently in progress, was able to detect 12 intussusception cases outside of the encatchment area.
| INTUSSUSCEPTION PATHOGENESIS |
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Dr Margaret E. Connor of the Baylor College of Medicine reviewed the results of their investigations using an experimental murine model of intussusception induced by lipopolysaccharide. Murine rotavirus strains enhanced the rate of intussusception in this model, causing enlargement of mesenteric lymph nodes and Peyers patches. However, Peyers patches did not appear to be the anatomic lead point for intussusception. The investigators further demonstrated differences in the ability of rotavirus strains to increase the murine incidence of intussusception. For example, the bovine rotavirus strain WC-3 and inactivated rhesus rotavirus vaccine had no effect, but a simian strain did augment the occurrence of intussusception. Dr Connor and colleagues concluded that some strains of rotavirus could be a cofactor in the induction of acute intussusception in mice. They were not able to demonstrate obstructive intussusception. Additional evidence of the variation in responses in mice to different strains of rotavirus was provided in studies performed by Dr H. Fred Clark and colleagues at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine.11 Virus was detected in mesenteric lymph nodes and Peyers patches after inoculation of simian-human but not bovine-human reassortants. The implications of these findings for humans, however, are unclear.
To date, studies have not demonstrated that wild-type rotavirus infection is associated with intussusception with the exception of case reports from Japan in the late 1970s.12 Dr Nakagomi postulated that some strains, such as a G3 serotype, could induce intussusception whereas others may not. This finding might explain the yearly variation in the incidence of intussusception.
In a roundtable discussion of the relationship between RRV-TV and intussusception, Dr Paul Offit of Childrens Hospital of Philadelphia offered 3 possible hypotheses. One is the "unique strain hypothesis," according to which the induction of intussusception is related to the rhesus rotavirus vaccine strains but not to other vaccines or wild-type strains. The second is that of a "bolus dose," in which ingestion of an inoculum of high viral titer by an infant is necessary to induce this disorder. A third is the "viral replication" hypothesis in which wild-type rotaviruses are a rare but consistent cause of the disease.
| ROTASHIELD ASSOCIATION WITH INTUSSUSCEPTION |
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The 6 studies evaluating the temporal association of RRV-TV with intussusception were reviewed in detail.1317 They differed in methodology: 2 were ecological,14,15 1 was a case-control,13 another was a case-series,13 and the others were retrospective cohort studies.14,17
Murphy et al13 in a case-control and case-series studied hospitalized patients with intussusception in 19 states and found a significantly increased risk of intussusception 3 to 14 days after the first dose of RRV-TV. The risk was most marked in the 3- to 7-day period. The risk also was increased after the second dose, although to a lesser extent. These investigators noted an attributable risk of intussusception after vaccination of 1 case for every 4670 to 9474 vaccinated infants. Three weeks after vaccination in the case-control study, the risk was <1. Dr Murphy noted that this lowered odds ratio reflected a return to the baseline incidence rate and that infants with markers of higher socioeconomic status were more likely to have received RRV-TV and to have a lower baseline risk of an intussusception than those infants who did not receive the vaccine. They concluded that their data did not support a hypothesis of a compensatory decrease of intussusception after vaccination. According to their findings, the total number of cases of intussusception would have been increased by 28% if a national program of rotavirus vaccination had been fully implemented.
In a retrospective cohort study involving 10 large managed care organizations, Kramarz et al14 also demonstrated an increased risk of intussusception in the 3- to 7-day period after the first vaccine dose. Of the 67 cases initially identified in the computerized database of diagnoses, only 60% were confirmed by medical chart review. The attributable risk in this study was 1 case of intussusception per 11 073 vaccinated infants. The CDC Vaccine Safety Datalink Group reported preliminary results of their ongoing study of this initial investigation by Kramarz and colleagues in which infants are followed until 1 year of age. The increased risk of intussusception 3 to 7 days after vaccination again was demonstrated. The relative risk after 21 days was
1 and did not suggest a compensatory decrease. The results were based on small numbers, however, and are not definitive.
Chang et al15 in an ecological study of hospital discharge data from 1989 through 1998 in New York reported data suggesting that the rate of intussusception had declined during this period. The rate of intussusception was
1 in 2600 infants. Their findings did not demonstrate an appreciable increase in the incidence of intussusception after the introduction of rotavirus vaccine, leading to the question of whether the rate of intussusception after vaccination was lower than the original CDC estimate of 1 in 2500 to 5000 recipients of RRV-TV.
Simonsen and colleagues16 at the NIAID reported the results of a 10-state and a subsequent 20-state ecological study of hospital admissions for intussusception. In the 10-state study, admissions among infants increased by an estimated 1% during the time interval of RRV-TV use. Their findings also demonstrated a decrease in intussusception hospitalizations from 1993 to 1999 and by trend comparison the increase during the time of RRV-TV use was 4%. Based on estimated vaccine coverage of 28%, the population attributable risk was 1 excessive hospital admission in 66 000 to 302 000 vaccine recipients of the first dose at 45 to 210 days of age. In their subsequent 20-state study, the findings were similar but the population attributable risk of 1 in 13 500 to 31 500 infants was higher. They based their estimates on the coverage rate determined in the National Immunization Survey, which was substantially less than that initially estimated. Thus, the intussusception risk in these ecological studies was substantially lower than that of previous estimates by CDC investigators and might suggest that the increased incidence of intussusception after vaccination was accompanied by a compensatory decrease, ie, a temporal shift, which could be explained by a triggering mechanism of RRV-TV in the causation of intussusception.
In a capture-recapture study, Verstraeten et al17 assessed the completeness of reporting to the VAERS in the case control and retrospective cohort studies by Murphy et al13 and Kramarz et al14 to be 47%. Their findings also demonstrated the increased relative risk of intussusception in the 3- to 7-day and 8- to 14-day periods after vaccination.
After the presentations of these studies, the conclusions of an expert panela were as follows:
1 per 10 000 children administered RRV-TV, ranging from a high of 1 in 5000 to a low of 1 in 12 000. These estimates contrast with the initial estimates of 1 in 2500 to 5000. | INTUSSCEPTION AND OTHER ORAL VACCINES |
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| ASSESSMENT AND IMPLICATIONS OF RISK AND BENEFIT |
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In the subsequent discussion of critical issues in vaccine policy, Dr Marcuse distinguished risk assessment from risk management. Thus, in assessing risk and benefit, technical, philosophical and procedural perspectives may lead to differing policy options. For immunization, these options include the following: not recommending the use of a vaccine; elective vaccine usage; selective recommendations for vaccine targeted to high-risk groups; universal immunization; and mandated use of vaccine. To be effective, risk management requires consensus building among public health workers, the medical community and the public, including the support of both appointed and elected officials in government.
Dr Saari reviewed the results of a survey he performed of pediatricians and family physicians in Wisconsin on rotavirus vaccine utilization and opinions. The findings demonstrated that from the private practice perspective, the risk of an adverse event in recommending a vaccine needs to be considered in the context of the severity of the adverse event. Physicians have a community, not a national, frame of reference that is based on their practice experiences, vaccine costs, and anxiety in parents. This anxiety might generate increased phone calls and medical visits, resulting in unanticipated and increased use of medical resources. A key problem is that a rare adverse event after immunization necessitates availability of specialty care, such as experienced radiologists and pediatric surgeons in the case of intussusception, which may not be readily available in rural or underserved communities. In contrast to febrile convulsions, intussusception is an event not common in the daily practice of physicians caring for children.
| THE FUTURE |
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| CONCLUSION |
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| FOOTNOTES |
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Reprint requests to (M.G.M.) National Vaccine Program Office, 4770 Buford Highway (M/S K-77), Atlanta, GA 30341
Dr Myers is currently at the Sealy Center for Vaccine Development, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, Texas.
a Drs John LaMontagne of the NIAID, Walter A. Orenstein of the CDC, James J. Schlesselman of the University of Miami School of Medicine, Eugene D. Shapiro of the Yale University School of Medicine, and Alexander M. Walker of the Harvard School of Public Health. ![]()
| REFERENCES |
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