PEDIATRICS Vol. 110 No. 5 November 2002, pp. 1032
33 272 Infants, 7-Year Follow-up: Total Serum Bilirubin, Transfusions Reexamined
To the Editor.
The long-term effect of elevated total serum bilirubin (TSB) levels on neurologic outcome remains controversial.1 In 1993 we reported an analysis of data from the US Collaborative Perinatal Project, a cohort study of infants born 19591966 that included neurologic examinations at age 7 on 33 272 children.2 We found a statistically significant association between TSB level
20 mg/dL and "abnormal or suspicious" neurologic examination (22.4% vs 15.1%; P < .001), but no significant association between peak TSB level
20 mg/dL (342 µmol/L) and "abnormal" neurologic examinations (4.5% vs 3.8%; P = .66) at age 7 years.
Brown and Johnson3 and Johnson and Bhutani4 have speculated that the reason we found no association between TSB
20 mg/dL and definite neurologic abnormalities is that abnormalities were prevented by exchange transfusions, done in 53% of the infants with TSB
20 mg/dL. To examine this possibility, we stratified the analysis by whether an exchange transfusion was done. We used SAS (SAS Corp, Cary, NC) to generate the table and Stata 6.0 (College Station, TX) to calculate risk ratios, exact P values, and 95% confidence intervals, and to test for homogeneity of the Mantel Haenszel relative risk.5 (This last test is to investigate the statistical significance of differences in the relative risk in children who did and did not receive exchange transfusions.)
Results are shown in Table 1. Although there was a trend toward a higher relative risk in children who had not had exchange transfusions, neither this relative risk itself nor the test for a difference in relative risk by exchange transfusion history approached statistical significance. Although it is possible that exchange transfusion may have prevented neurologic abnormalities in some of the patients in whom it was done, the risk of abnormalities in infants with TSB
20 mg/dL who did not receive an exchange was also low, and similar to the risk in children who had lower TSB levels. We conclude that the low risk of abnormal 7-year neurologic examinations in children whose maximum bilirubin levels were
20 mg/dL in the CPP is not primarily attributable to use of exchange transfusions.
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Thomas B. Newman, MD, MPH
Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Pediatrics
School of Medicine, University of California
San Francisco, CA 94143-0560 USA
Mark Klebanoff
Division of Epidemiology, Statistics and Prevention Research
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH
Bethesda, MD 20892, USA
REFERENCES
- Poland RL. Preventing kernicterus: almost there. J Pediatr.2002; 140 :385 386[CrossRef][Web of Science][Medline]
- Newman TB, Klebanoff MA. Neonatal hyperbilirubinemia and long-term outcome: another look at the Collaborative Perinatal Project.
Pediatrics.1993; 92
:651
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[Abstract/Free Full Text] - Brown AK, Johnson L. Loss of concern about jaundice and the reemergence of kernicterus in full term infants in the era of managed care. In: Fanaroff A, Klaus M, eds. Yearbook of Neonatal and Perinatal Medicine. St Louis, MO: Mosby Yearbook; 1996:xviixxviii
- Brown AK, Johnson L, Bhutani VK. Guidelines for management of the jaundiced term and near-term infant. Clin Perinatol.1998; 25 :555 74, viii[Web of Science][Medline]
- Statcorp. Stata statistical software: Release 6.0. College Station, TX: Stata Corporation; 1999
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 1098-4275). ©2002 by the American Academy of Pediatrics
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