PEDIATRICS Vol. 56 No. 4 October 1975, pp. 500-502
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Further speculation about numbers of pediatricians

Kenneth D. Rogers M.D.1

1 Department of Community Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15261

In their article, "Some Implications Of Declining ng Birth Rates for Pediatricians," Gorwitz and Smith make three predictions and propose responses to these. The predictions are that births in the United States will remain at about three million or less per year for several decades, hospital beds for children will remain excessive, and the number of pediatricians will increase to a point of oversupply. The recommended action includes a moratorium on construction of new hospital beds for children and reevaluation of the role of the pediatrician with appropriate modification of size and content of training programs. These predictions and recommendations ions deserve examination.