PEDIATRICS Vol. 5 No. 6 June 1950, pp. 1042-1043
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PUBLIC HEALTH, NURSING AND MEDICAL SOCIAL WORK

RECENT TRENDS IN BIRTH AND DEATH RATES

Editors: MYRON F. WEGMAN, M.D..

THE charts reprinted below illustrate the situation in 1949 and early 1950 for the national birth, death, infant mortality and marriage license rates. As explained in the November 1949 issue of Pediatrics, these rates are estimated by the National Office of Vital Statistics on the basis of preliminary reports coming from the various states. Such estimates are, of course, open to subsequent correction, but may with safety be considered as reflecting the true situation very closely. [See. Table source in Pdf.]

During each month in 1949 the birth rate was very close to that for the corresponding month in 1948. Only toward the end of the year were the monthly rates for 1949 consistently under the preceding year. The trend in 1950 continues downward but the differences are relatively small. Each month in 1949 witnessed a well marked decrease from the year before in the marriage license rate. Only January 1950 is available for comparison at this time but the downward trend has not been reversed and will be related subsequently to still lower birth rates.

February is the third consecutive month in which the estimated death rate was lower than the corresponding rate of any previous year. Thus, the estimated rate of 10.1 for the three months, December 1949-February 1950 sets a new low for this season.




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