PEDIATRICS Vol. 108 No. 2 August 2001, p. e35
ELECTRONIC ARTICLE:
A New and Improved Population-Based Canadian Reference for
Birth Weight for Gestational Age
Received Aug 21, 2000; accepted Apr 9, 2001.
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From the Departments of * Pediatrics and of Background. Existing fetal growth
references all suffer from 1 or more major methodologic problems,
including errors in reported gestational age, biologically implausible
birth weight for gestational age, insufficient sample sizes at low
gestational age, single-hospital or other non-population-based
samples, and inadequate statistical modeling techniques.
Methods. We used the newly developed Canadian national
linked file of singleton births and infant deaths for births between
1994 and 1996, for which gestational age is largely based on early
ultrasound estimates. Assuming a normal distribution for birth weight
at each gestational age, we used the expectation-maximization algorithm to exclude infants with gestational ages that were more consistent with
40-week births than with the observed gestational age. Distributions of
birth weight at the corrected gestational ages were then statistically smoothed.
Results. The resulting male and female curves provide
smooth and biologically plausible means, standard deviations, and
percentile cutoffs for defining small- and large-for-gestational-age
births. Large-for-gestational age cutoffs (90th percentile) at low
gestational ages are considerably lower than those of existing
references, whereas small-for-gestational-age cutoffs (10th percentile)
postterm are higher. For example, compared with the current World
Health Organization reference from California (Williams et al, 1982) and a recently proposed US national reference (Alexander et al, 1996),
the 90th percentiles for singleton males at 30 weeks are 1837 versus
2159 and 2710 g. The corresponding 10th percentiles at 42 weeks
are 3233 versus 3086 and 2998 g.
Conclusions. This new sex-specific, population-based
reference should improve clinical assessment of growth in individual
newborns, population-based surveillance of geographic and temporal
trends in birth weight for gestational age, and evaluation of clinical
or public health interventions to enhance fetal growth.
fetal growth, birth weight, gestational age, preterm birth, postterm
birth.
Epidemiology and
Biostatistics, McGill University Faculty of Medicine, Montreal, Canada;
§ Bureau of Reproductive and Child Health, Health Canada, Ottawa,
Canada;
Department of Pediatrics, Dalhousie University Faculty of
Medicine, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada; and the ¶ Epidemiological
Research Unit on Perinatal and Women's Health (INSERM), Villejuif,
France.
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